In February 2023, the United States military shot down four objects over North American airspace in nine days. The first was a confirmed Chinese surveillance balloon. The next three were never identified. The episode exposed a gap in North American air defenses that had existed for years, triggered a political crisis over what the government knew about objects in its airspace, and ended with no definitive answers about what three of the four objects actually were.
NORAD Commander Gen. Glen VanHerck briefs reporters on the shootdown of unidentified objects over North America in February 2023, calling the incidents a “domain awareness gap.”
TL;DR: Between February 10 and 12, 2023, U.S. military fighters shot down three unidentified objects over North America in three days, following the shootdown of a Chinese spy balloon on February 4. The objects were detected over Alaska, Canada’s Yukon territory, and Lake Huron after NORAD adjusted its radar filters to detect slower-moving targets. Debris was never recovered from any of the three objects. President Biden said they were “most likely balloons tied to private companies, recreation, or research institutions,” but no positive identification was ever made. An Illinois hobby group reported a missing balloon on the same day one object was shot down. NORAD’s commander acknowledged a “domain awareness gap” in North American air defenses. Sources linked below.
Timeline
- January 28, 2023 A high-altitude balloon originating from China enters U.S. airspace over Alaska. It travels across western Canada and re-enters U.S. airspace over Montana. The balloon is tracked by NORAD but not immediately intercepted.
- February 1, 2023 According to defense and intelligence sources, eight or nine unidentified aerial phenomena are detected by NORAD over the Arctic Circle. Fighter jets are scrambled to intercept them but are unsuccessful. The objects are not publicly disclosed at the time.
- February 4, 2023 An F-22 Raptor shoots down the Chinese spy balloon over U.S. territorial waters off the coast of South Carolina with an AIM-9X Sidewinder missile. Debris is recovered and analyzed. The balloon is confirmed to be a Chinese surveillance platform.
- February 10, 2023 An F-22 shoots down an unidentified object near Deadhorse, Alaska, over the Beaufort Sea. The object is described as the size of a small car. Recovery efforts by the Alaska National Guard on sea ice are unsuccessful. The Northern Illinois Bottlecap Balloon Club later reports one of its $12 amateur radio balloons went missing on this date, according to The Guardian.
- February 11, 2023 On orders of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, a “small, cylindrical object” is shot down over Canada’s Yukon Territory. Both U.S. and Canadian aircraft had scrambled. A U.S. F-22 makes the kill. Recovery efforts are hampered by winter conditions and rugged terrain. No debris is recovered.
- February 12, 2023 The U.S. military shoots down a fourth unidentified object over Lake Huron, within the maritime territory of Michigan. The object is described as octagonal. An AIM-9X Sidewinder missile is used. The object falls into the lake. Recovery efforts are unsuccessful.
- February 16, 2023 President Biden addresses the nation, stating the three objects shot down after the Chinese balloon were “most likely balloons tied to private companies, recreation, or research institutions studying weather or conducting other scientific research.” He announces that he has ordered the shootdown policy to be narrowed to objects that pose a threat, according to Politico.
- February 17, 2023 The Northern Illinois Bottlecap Balloon Club publicly reports that one of its amateur radio balloons went missing on February 10, the same day the first of the three unidentified objects was shot down over Alaska. The club notes that its balloon’s last known transmission was in the same general area, according to PetaPixel.
- March 2023 The U.S. and Canada form a joint board to investigate the shootdowns. The board’s findings have not been publicly released.
The Chinese Balloon Context
The three unidentified object shootdowns cannot be understood without the Chinese surveillance balloon that preceded them. The balloon, which entered U.S. airspace on January 28 and was not shot down until February 4, created a political firestorm. The Biden administration was criticized for allowing the balloon to traverse the entire continental United States before engaging it. Congressional members demanded answers about why previous Chinese balloons had not been detected.
Searchers hunt in Yukon and Lake Huron for unidentified objects shot down by U.S. warplanes, February 2023.
In response, NORAD adjusted its radar detection filters to look for slower-moving, smaller objects that the system had previously been configured to ignore. General Glen VanHerck, the commander of NORAD and U.S. Northern Command, told reporters: “It’s my responsibility to detect threats to North America. I will tell you that we did not detect those [previous] threats, and that’s a domain awareness gap that we have to figure out,” according to Breaking Defense.
The adjusted radar settings immediately began detecting new objects. According to defense officials, eight or nine unidentified objects were detected over the Arctic Circle on February 1 alone, before any of the shootdowns occurred. The military scrambled fighter jets but was unable to intercept them at the time, according to Air and Space Forces Magazine.
This context is critical: the three objects were detected because the radar was looking for things it had not been looking for before. The question is whether those objects were new, or whether similar objects had been passing through North American airspace for years without being detected.
The Three Unidentified Objects
The three objects shot down between February 10 and 12 were described differently by officials:
Alaska (February 10): The object was described as roughly the size of a small car. It was shot down near Deadhorse, Alaska, over the Beaufort Sea. Recovery efforts involved the Alaska National Guard working on sea ice. The debris was never recovered, with officials citing harsh Arctic conditions and the possibility that the debris sank into the ocean or was scattered across the ice.
Yukon (February 11): The object was described as “small” and “cylindrical.” It was shot down over the Yukon Territory on orders from Prime Minister Trudeau, marking the first time NORAD had shot down an object over Canadian territory. Both U.S. and Canadian jets participated in the operation. Recovery was hampered by mountainous terrain and winter weather. No debris was recovered.
Lake Huron (February 12): The object was described as octagonal. It was shot down over Lake Huron using an AIM-9X Sidewinder missile. The debris fell into the lake. Recovery efforts were unsuccessful. This was the fourth object shot down in nine days.
After the Lake Huron shootdown, the White House paused further kinetic engagement of unidentified objects, with officials stating that the military was “downing objects that posed no threat,” according to Vox.
Were They Hobby Balloons?
The most widely discussed potential explanation for the three objects is that they were civilian or research balloons. President Biden stated on February 16 that the objects were “most likely balloons tied to private companies, recreation, or research institutions studying weather or conducting other scientific research,” according to Politico.
The most specific lead came from the Northern Illinois Bottlecap Balloon Club, an amateur radio organization that launches high-altitude balloons carrying small radio transmitters. The club reported that one of its balloons, which cost approximately $12 to build, went missing on February 10, the same day the Alaska object was shot down. The balloon’s last known transmission was in the same general area, according to The Guardian.
If confirmed, this would mean the U.S. military used an AIM-9X Sidewinder missile, which costs approximately $439,000, to shoot down a $12 amateur radio balloon. However, no positive identification has been made, and the club’s balloon was never confirmed as any of the three objects.
The hobby balloon theory does not easily explain all three objects. The Alaska object was described as “the size of a small car,” which is larger than a typical amateur radio balloon. The Yukon object was cylindrical. The Lake Huron object was octagonal. These descriptions are not consistent with a single type of object.
The “Domain Awareness Gap”
General VanHerck’s acknowledgment of a “domain awareness gap” is one of the most significant aspects of the February 2023 episode. The admission means that NORAD’s radar systems, which are designed to detect and track objects in North American airspace, had been configured to filter out slow-moving, small objects. This filter was presumably designed to reduce false alarms from birds, weather phenomena, and other non-threats.
The Chinese balloon revealed that this filtering also excluded genuine surveillance platforms. When the filters were adjusted, multiple new objects appeared immediately. The question of whether these objects had been present for years, undetected due to the radar settings, has not been publicly answered.
As reported by The War Zone, the episode raised questions about the role of AARO, the Pentagon’s UAP investigation office, which had been established just months earlier. Critics asked why AARO had not been more involved in identifying the objects and why the public was left with no answers.
Opposing Perspectives
The hobby balloon explanation. The most parsimonious explanation is that the three objects were civilian or research balloons that were shot down in a panic following the Chinese balloon incident. President Biden’s statement supports this view. The Northern Illinois Bottlecap Balloon Club’s report provides a specific lead for at least one of the objects. The fact that no debris was recovered makes definitive identification impossible, but the preponderance of circumstantial evidence points toward benign civilian objects.
The counter-narrative. Skeptics of the hobby balloon explanation note several problems. First, the descriptions of the three objects vary significantly in size and shape, making it unlikely they were all the same type of balloon. Second, the Alaska object was described as “the size of a small car,” which is much larger than a typical hobby or weather balloon. Third, the objects were detected over three different locations in three days, suggesting either multiple objects or an object that moved between locations. Fourth, the failure to recover any debris from any of the three objects is unusual, particularly for the Lake Huron object, which fell into a relatively accessible body of water.
The national security concern. Regardless of what the objects were, the February 2023 episode exposed a real vulnerability in North American air defenses. The “domain awareness gap” meant that objects could transit North American airspace for years without being detected. If the objects were benign hobby balloons, the gap is embarrassing but not dangerous. If they were foreign surveillance platforms, the gap represents a serious national security failure. Without recovered debris, neither conclusion can be confirmed.
An unidentified object is shot down over Lake Huron, marking the fourth object in nine days.
Canadian Defence Minister says objects shot down over Yukon and Lake Huron were not affiliated with a foreign country.
YouTube Videos
Unidentified object shot down over Lake Huron, marking the fourth object in nine days.
Canadian Defence Minister on objects shot down over Yukon and Lake Huron.
Sources
Source Links
- Wikipedia: 2023 Chinese balloon incident
- Politico: Hobby group may have the answer to what the U.S. shot down
- The Guardian: Object downed by US missile may have been hobbyists’ $12 balloon
- Vox: What’s up with the unidentified objects?
- Breaking Defense: Other Chinese balloons slipped through domain awareness gap
- Air and Space Forces Magazine: NORAD Missed Previous Chinese Spy Balloons
- The War Zone: Broken AARO? Pentagon UAP Office’s Role Questioned
- PetaPixel: Increasing Possibility the USAF Shot Down Hobby Balloons
- Defense Daily: Chinese Balloon Highlights Domain Awareness Gap